USDA-ARS:  Harmel-2009

Title
Estimating storm discharge and water quality data uncertainty: A software tool for monitoring and modeling applications.
Author
Harmel, R.D., D.R. Smith, K.W. King, and R.M. Slade
Abstract/Summary Statement
Uncertainty estimates corresponding to measured hydrologic and water quality data can contribute to improved monitoring design, decision-making, model application, and regulatory formulation. With these benefits in mind, the Data Uncertainty Estimation Tool for Hydrology and Water Quality (DUET-H/WQ) was developed from an existing uncertainty estimation framework for small watershed discharge, sediment, and N and P data. DUET-H/WQ lists published uncertainty information for data collection procedures to assist the user in assigning appropriate data-specific uncertainty estimates and then calculates the uncertainty for individual discharge, concentration, and load values. Results of DUET-H/WQ application in several studies indicated that substantial uncertainty can be contributed by each procedural category (discharge measurement, sample collection, sample preservation/storage, laboratory analysis, and data processing and management). For storm loads, the uncertainty was typically least for discharge (±7-23%), higher for sediment (±16-27%) and dissolved N and P (±14-31%) loads, and higher yet for total N and P (±18-36%). When these uncertainty estimates for individual values were aggregated within study periods (i.e. total discharge, average concentration, total load), uncertainties followed the same pattern (Q < TSS < dissolved N and P < total N and P). It is our hope that DUET-H/WQ contributes to making uncertainty estimation a routine data collection and reporting procedure and thus enhances environmental monitoring, modeling, and decision-making. Hydrologic and water quality data are too important for scientists to continue to ignore the inherent uncertainty.
Table of Contents
Abstract
Introduction
Method and Software Description
Description of Case Studies
Results and Discussion
Conclusions
References
Citation
Harmel, R.D., D.R. Smith, K.W. King, and R.M. Slade. 2009. Estimating storm discharge and water quality data uncertainty: A software tool for monitoring and modeling applications. Environ. Modelling Software 24: 832-842.
Method Source
USDA-ARS
Source Organization Country
USA
Publication Year
2009
Special Notes
journal article and downloadable software Direct link to article at http://www.ars.usda.gov/SP2UserFiles/Place/62060000/graphics/DUETHWQ.pdf
Item Type
Journal Article
Publication Source Type
Government Agency (Federal, USA)
Purpose
Data analysis
Monitoring program design
Design or Data Analysis Objectives
Compare locations
Compare treatments
Compliance with a threshold
Exploring/summarizing data
Complexity
Low
Media Emphasized
Surface Water
Media Subcategory
Special Topics
Characterizing the uncertainty of an estimated value